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A Minnesota federal judge blocked the state's prediction market ban days before it was set to take effect, while the NFL challenged CFTC rules and 365Prediction moved toward an early 2027 launch, all on the same day.
South Africa's bookmakers association is calling for a ban on unlicensed prediction market platforms after R700,000 was wagered on a Johannesburg mayoral election via Polymarket, citing integrity, AML and tax risks, as the CFTC tightens US compliance rules.
The CFTC on July 24, 2026 issued its second advisory warning Kalshi, Polymarket, Cboe and Crypto.com's events affiliate to stop submitting template-style blanket certifications and instead file individual terms and compliance analysis for each contract variation.
France's gambling regulator ANJ blocked Polymarket's website on July 18, 2026, despite the platform having already disabled trading from France since November 2024. Polymarket is now challenging the decision in court, arguing the block targets users accessing the site purely for information.
Internal Discord training videos obtained by Semafor reveal how Polymarket built a dedicated fake platform called Fakecharts, paying influencers to stage $1.9 million in fictitious bets that racked up 140 million views before senators demanded a CFTC investigation.
France's gambling regulator ordered ISPs to block Polymarket on July 16, 2026, after a November 2024 transaction freeze failed to deter 205,000 unique French visitors a month. The platform is fighting back legally as European regulatory pressure on prediction markets intensifies.
Netflix releases Instadocs: The Prediction Games today, putting the $27 billion prediction markets industry in front of a global mainstream audience at the exact moment state courts and Congress are moving to restrict its biggest players.
Pennsylvania has introduced House Bill 2711, which would regulate prediction markets with consumer protections and insider trading rules but no tax on operator revenue, setting it apart from every other state that has moved to regulate the sector.
France's gambling regulator ANJ has ordered internet providers to block Polymarket nationwide, escalating from a 2024 funding ban after 578,751 French visits in a single month.
The Wisconsin Elections Commission has warned that voters who trade election contracts on Kalshi or Polymarket, then cast a ballot in that same race, risk disqualification and a felony referral.
Spain has not licensed prediction betting, but legal experts say existing sports betting rules could already cover it, even as the DGOJ works to block Polymarket and Kalshi.
Kalshi and Polymarket posted record trading volumes during the 2026 World Cup, with US prediction markets hitting 20 billion dollars in notional volume in just 12 days.